re-send message To what extend would that variation be lower the positive regions are set a bit further away from the background? As we know from the literature there can be bursts in background signals (there was this article from someone using time as a QC parameter). Perhaps the histogram of time of a plot of time versus an appropriate parameter gated on your rare event logic should reveal the timed appearance of the events and reveal the statistical problem on a practical level. If your events are well separated from the background and show an increase or decrease over time you might consider effects of physical separation (settling...) Regards Gerhard P.S. I wonder how my message will appear following our "outlook upgrade" today References see either Shapiro or LINDMO T, FUNDINGSRUD K MEASUREMENT OF THE DISTRIBUTION OF TIME INTERVALS BETWEEN CELL PASSAGES IN FLOW-CYTOMETRY AS A METHOD FOR THE EVALUATION OF SAMPLE PREPARATION PROCEDURES CYTOMETRY 2: (3) 151-154 1981 LINDMO T, FUNDINGSRUD K MEASUREMENT OF THE DISTRIBUTION OF INTER-CELLULAR TIME INTERVALS REVEALS NONIDEAL SAMPLE FLOW IN FLOW-CYTOMETRY CYTOMETRY 2: (2) 112-112 1981 KUSUDA L, MELAMED MR DISPLAY AND CORRECTION OF FLOW-CYTOMETRY TIME-DEPENDENT FLUORESCENCE CHANGES CYTOMETRY 17: (4) 340-342 DEC 1 1994 WATSON JV TIME, A QUALITY-CONTROL PARAMETER IN FLOW-CYTOMETRY CYTOMETRY 8: (6) 646-649 NOV 1987 -----Original Message----- From: Howard Shapiro [SMTP:hms@shapirolab.com] Sent: Monday, December 06, 1999 11:42 PM To: Cytometry Mailing List Subject: RE: rare events Hai Qi reported finding 0.04% positives in one sample of 1/5 million cells (I assume this is 200,000 cells) and 0.15% in another. In general, one can use Poisson statistics in dealing with rare event analysis (or with counts of small numbers of pretty much anything). In these cases, 0.01% of 200,000 is 20 cells, so the first sample had 80 positive cells and the second had 300. The Poisson standard deviation for a count of n cells is the square root of n, which is about 9 for the 80 cells and about 18 for the 300. The two values are thus separated by several standard deviations, which is to say that there is a statistically significant difference between them. However, the statistics provide no information as to the source of the difference. Since the cells came from the same pot, one would suspect instrumental factors related to data collection and/or analysis, unless there is reason to believe that a process such as differential settling of the rare cell type would change the composition of a sample aliquot with time. A mild degree of paranoia is probably an asset when dealing with rare event analysis. -Howard
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