RE: rare event

From: Leary, James F. (jleary@utmb.edu)
Date: Fri Dec 03 1999 - 14:33:51 EST


Ann - -I am a little puzzled. The statistics of a 0.05% population in 10,000
total cells is only 5 cells. Even with the best possible background, the
confidence limits of that frequency are statistically pretty poor. In the
paper I gave to Hai Qi (see corrected reference on Flow Cytometry Mailing
List), we explored this issue and showed that accurate frequency prediction
is relatively poor below about 20 cells and only really gets stable at about
50 cells. If you see something that I don't, I would really want to know!
--Jim Leary

-----Original Message-----
From: Ann Atzberger [mailto:Ann.Atzberger@EMBL-Heidelberg.de]
Sent: Friday, December 03, 1999 7:32 AM
To: cyto-inbox
Subject: Re: rare event



Hallo Hai Qi,

if I understand correctly, you ran a total of 200 thousand cells of the
same sample through the machine twice. As you say the subpopulation is not
that rare at 0.15%.  I have often analysed samples with rare events at
0.05% of the total population with good precision,(granted the signal was
way above background) and only saving 10,000 events.

If you have a lot of debris or dead cells in the sample the %s can vary; so
you can either: 1.use a ficoll gradient to clean up the sample.
2.reset your threshold value to cut out as much debris as possible.
3.live gate.
4.Run the cells slowly through the machine.
5.Make sure the machine is clean, as bits of junk stuck in the sample probe
can effect your values. 

I might be wrong but I think saving 200,000 cells has to be more than ample
to detect this subpopulation.

Ann
At 16:49 01.12.99 -0600, you wrote:
>
>
>It is really not too rare, a cell population about 0.04% to 0.15%, while
the
>background is 0.01-0.05%. The problem is the variation among different
>measurements, presumably due to the systematic error. For example, I had
>10e7 total cells and ran 2*10e5 out of them for two times: one time I got
>0.04% and the other time I got 0.15%. In order to have smaller variation,
>obviously I have to increase my sample size, but the last thing I want to
do
>is to run through all 10e7 cells. Can anyone give me a handy statistical
>method for estimating the sample size that makes a cost-effective
>compromise? Thank you very much.
>
>Hai Qi
>Dept. of Pathology, UTMB
>
>



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